Traders bet big on Fed rate cut as December odds soar above 80% on prediction markets

Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket show a more than 80% probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve interest rate ...

Fed’s Beige Book Shows Cooling Labor Market, Softer Spending Ahead of December Rate Decision

The Federal Reserve’s latest Beige Book illustrates softening consumer spending and a labor market that has lost some ...

Fed faces another tough rate decison with inflation and job data delay

October jobs and inflation reports are canceled and November data are delayed until after the Fed's Dec. 9-10 meeting. What ...
Marketplace

Why do investors literally place bets on whether the Fed will raise interest rates?

For some investors, they bet on a vehicle known as "Federal Funds futures" to hedge. For others, it's just that — a bet.

Big Changes Coming to the Fed—And Interest Rates—Next Year If This Frontrunner Gets Powell’s Job

The reported frontrunner to take over as Federal Reserve chair in May has a recent track record of advocating for the central bank lowering interest rates.

Wholesale inflation was fairly tame before government shutdown, but PPI might not sway Fed rate-cut vote

The last piece of inflation data the Federal Reserve will see before its pivotal December meeting to debate another ...

Divided Fed sparks surge in rate options hedging as policy uncertainty lingers

Dreyfuss NEW YORK (Reuters) -Conflicting signals from the Federal Reserve on the timing and magnitude of U.S. interest rate ...

Why the Fed’s Next Interest Rate Move Is Becoming So Hard to Predict

What should the Fed do to fight high inflation while preventing the job market from collapsing? Ask its 12 leaders and you'll ...