YR4 has a small chance of hitting Earth in 2032, but as astronomers make more observations about its trajectory, the odds of a collision seem to be increasing

An asteroid between about 130 and 300 ft. (40 and 90 meters) in diameter has been given a 2.3% chance of it hitting Earth on Dec. 22, 2032.

NASA has flagged a major increase in the probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth in 2032. The space agency had first estimated a 1.3% chance of impact when the asteroid was discovered just after Christmas last year. But recent data from NASA's Center for Near Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) now puts the number at a heightened 3.1%.