The U.S. economy is very close to falling into a damaging contraction — and many states are already in a recession, according ...

“U.S. Economic Growth Expected to Flatline in 2025. Tariffs Are the Main Reason.” – Barron’s (April 15, 2025) “If they don’t change the tariffs, it’s ...

A government shutdown typically risks only modest damage for the U.S. economy, stemming mainly from furloughed public workers ...

Consumer confidence has dropped below key thresholds, challenging Fed policymakers and Wall Street’s bullish market view.

There are signs the job market is slowing. For now, investors are upbeat, but there are three key thresholds that could ...

How is the economy doing? It’s a question that many of us are asking, given all of the uncertainty created by President Trump’s tariffs. Should we spend money or tighten our belts? The answer to that ...

Recent GDP growth is lagging; focus should shift to leading indicators signaling potential economic slowdown. Click here to learn more about the U.S. Economy.

Even the most casual observer of the events of the last five years -- the housing bubble, the bust and the digging-out process -- would be struck by the similarities between the policies that got us ...

DataTrek Research pointed to signs in stocks and bonds that reflect extremely high confidence in the US economy. Most forecasters on Wall Street also expect the US to avoid a recession this year.

Will Congress shut down the US government? Discover the real impact on markets, jobs, and your money in this urgent analysis.

Polymarket and Kalshi traders' perceived probability of a recession this year has plunged recently. Both prediction markets surged in popularity after users called Trump's election win in November.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk said President Trump’s tariff policies will cause a recession in the second half of the year. The post, part of an escalating feud between the president and the billionaire ...