An inverted yield curve is a good, if imperfect, recession indicator. The economy has been resilient to the latest inversion.

Even as stock investors cheer signs of inflation peaking, the bond market’s best-known predictor of recessions is showing its clearest signal yet that there is trouble ahead for the U.S. economy. It’s ...

A historically reliable recession indicator began flashing red last year as the difference between long-term and short-term bond yields was flipped, but there's a reason that the closely watched ...

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - A crucial part of the U.S. yield curve has inverted, bringing with it a robust warning of a coming U.S. recession (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images) U.S. government 3-month ...

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A yield curve reflects the current yields for debt obligations of various terms. An invested yield curve is viewed as an important economic indicator and a possible precursor to a recession. Learn ...